Posted by on June 17, 2013 in Blog

Three years after Tahrir and one year after the presidential election, President Morsi’s support has narrowed dramatically among Egyptians.

Today, Dr. James Zogby, Arab American Institute President and founder of Zogby Research Services (ZRS), released a new comprehensive opinion survey on Egyptian attitudes toward the Muslim Brotherhood. Surveying 5,029 Egyptian adults nationwide and conducted between April 4th and May 12th, 2013, the poll is the most extensive study of Egyptian public opinion. Zogby released the poll at a panel event hosted by the Middle East Institute. In addition to Zogby, panelists included, Amb. Edward Walker, professor of Global Politics at Hamilton College; Kate Seelye, senior vice president of the Middle East Institute; Brian Katulis, senior fellow for National security, Middle East politics, terrorism at the Center for American Progress; Dina Guirgis, Arab American attorney and longtime Egyptian democratic activist.

Summary of the findings:

One year ago, 57% of Egyptians said Morsi’s victory was either “a positive development” or “the result of a democratic election and the results need to be respected.” Today, that support has dropped to only 28% - almost all of it coming from his own party. Morsi has lost the rest of the country. As a result, more than 70% of Egyptians are dis­satisfied with Morsi’s policies and his performance.

The Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party has the confidence of just under 26% of all Egyptian adults.

  • The major opposition groups (the National Salvation Front and the April 6th Movement) combined have a larger support base of almost 35% of the adult population.
  • The remaining almost 40% of the population appear to have no confidence in either the government or any of the political parties. The problem is that the opposition is disorganized and lacks clear leadership.

A divide across religious and ideological lines is palpable. Muslims are more than three times as likely as Christians to see themselves as better off now (30% vs. 9%), with more than eight in ten Christian respondents saying they are worse off (81%).

Among Egyptians, there is near universal confidence in the army (94%).

The only consensus point  on the way forward for Egypt is to convene "real national dialogue.”

Download the poll.

AAI maintains an extensive and comprehensive archive of Zogby Research Services and Zogby International polls on Arab, Arab American, and U.S. opinion covering a wide range of issues, including US attitudes toward Egypt.

Watch the rollout and informative discussion of the poll here:

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