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Tuesday November 26, 2013

Zogby Research Poll Shows Egyptian Attitudes Split, More Polarized than Ever

Posted by Omar Tewfik at 2:06 pm

From September 16-28, Zogby Research Services (ZRS) conducted a poll on Egyptian attitudes for the Sir Bani Yas Forum in Abu Dhabi. The poll, released to the public today, is the third in a series surveying changing Egyptian attitudes toward developments as they unfold: how they view their government and institutions; areas of agreement and dis­agreement; and their hopes for the future. The two earlier polls in the series were released by ZRS in May 2013 before former president Mohamed Morsi’s ouster, and in late July following his removal from power by the military. ZRS’s most recent poll has opened a window, allowing us to better understand how attitudes have shifted over time.

“In our September survey, we find that public opinion in Egypt has become more conflicted and even more polarized,” said AAI President and ZRS Director James Zogby. “Overall, Egyptians remain hopeful about the country’s future and believe that the situation will improve in the next few years, but the continuing violence has taken a toll.”

Key findings from the September poll:

  • The country is split down the middle in its view of the military’s July 3 overthrow of the Morsi government.
  • Confidence in the army has dropped from 93% in July to 70% in September. Not surprisingly, the biggest decline is from those who have confidence in the Muslim Brotherhood (88% in July to 48% in September).
  • Support for the Freedom and Justice Party held steady, while Nour Party and the National Salvation Front sharply declined in popularity.   
  • A slight majority wants the Muslim Brotherhood banned from politics (50% vs. 42% who think there should be an agreed-upon formula for inclusion), while almost eight in ten say national reconciliation is an important goal.
  • Egyptians’ hope for the future has grown and remains high with 36% in May, to 68% in July, and 60% in September saying they are still hopeful for Egypt’s future
  • Overall, 83% say Egypt will be better in a few years, and this sentiment is widely shared regardless of political leaning, with 72% of FJP supporters and 96% of Tamarrud supporters in agreement.
  • Confidence in Egyptian leaders is weak with deep divisions, with Adly Mansour at 39%, Gen. El Sisi at 46%, and Morsi at 44%. 
  • Respondents overwhelmingly say the government of former president Hosni Mubarak is at fault for the problems facing Egypt today.
  • When asked which element presents the biggest obstacle to national reconciliation. A plurality blames the Muslim Brotherhood, with about one in five also blaming the military.

Download the poll

AAI maintains an extensive and comprehensive archive of Zogby Research Services and Zogby International polls on Arab, Arab American, and U.S. opinion covering a wide range of issues, including US attitudes toward Egypt.

Tagged as Issues, Egypt, US-Arab Relations, Research, Opinion Polls

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