Posted on October 25, 2016 in Reports
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Download the Arab American Vote
2016: Identity and Political Concerns
poll release here.

Executive Summary

Political Concerns 

In a survey of 502 Arab Americans conducted by Zogby Analytics between 10/4/16 and 10/12/16, Hillary Clinton tops Donald Trump among likely voters 60% to 26%.

The steady migration of Arab Americans away from the Republican party continues, with Arab American Democrats outnumbering Republicans by a 2-1 margin. A majority of Arab Americans support Hillary Clinton for the Presidency, citing her domestic policies and party affiliation among their main motivations. Almost one-third of registered voters responded that voting against Trump was their primary reason for their support of Clinton. Trump supporters make up 25% of the community; 32% cite opposition to Clinton and 24% cite party affiliation as their main motivations. The foreign policy of each candidate does not factor into voters’ decisions. 

10% of Republicans, and 16% of Independents have not declared their support for a candidate this election season, compared to 2% of Democrats. 91% of Arab Americans report they are likely to vote on November 8th.

All sides cite jobs and the economy as the most importance issue in determining their vote. Republicans cite combatting terrorism as their second issue of concern, while Democrats cite gun violence. A strong majority of Arab Americans, believe that undocumented immigrants with no criminal record, currently in the United States should be eligible for a pathway to legal status. 62% of Arab Americans agree that policing needs to be reformed, but not radically.

Defeating ISIS, ending the conflict in Syria, and resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict are most frequently cited as the most important challenges facing U.S.-Arab relations. A majority of Arab Americans, and a majority of likely Arab American voters, believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely to pursue policies that would be beneficial to improving US relations with the Arab World.

Identity and Personal Concerns

Arab American identification (identifying as Arab American and by country of origin, or as Arab American alone) totals 62%. Overall, the community is extremely proud of its ethnic heritage.

Half of all Arab Americans have personally experienced discrimination in the past because of their ethnicity or country of origin, and 62% of Arab Americans are concerned about future discrimination. Nearly 8 out of 10 Arab Americans who are Muslim are concerned about facing discrimination in the future. 

Methodology

Zogby Analytics was commissioned by AAI to conduct a hybrid (online and live operator telephone) survey of 502 Arab Americans. Participants were derived from national voter lists and screened using a surname list. Using information based on census data, voter registration figures, CIA fact books and exit polls, we use complex weighting techniques to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed. Weighted variables may include age, race, gender, region, party, education, and religion. Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 502 is +/- 4.5 percentage points. 

Total refers to total registered voters, Likely voters are those who responded they likely to vote. All breakouts refer to registered voters.